- Posts: 881
- Joined: Tue Jul 15, 2014 10:50 pm
Just because it's happened before does not mean its not a phenomenon.
I think it reflects big societal changes. The old centres of social life in the Valleys were the Italian cafes and miners institutes. Both catered to an area and groups influenced by the temperance movement - even if they did drink, it was in sort of moderation. The decline in religion and mining meant the centre of life moved to the pubs and rugby clubs. Now with falls in alcohol consumption, especially among the young, and a rise in disposable income among the elderly, cafes are back again (and pubs suffering).
I think the rise and rise of coffee shops and convenience food outlets (sandwich shops, burrito bars, etc) has gone on further than people would have thought. I remember about 6 years ago analysis of the rise of coffee shops on the high street and comments about how far this could continue... and it has!
In London, at least, it seems that people increasingly purchase food/drinks from such outlets rather than bring in or make food themselves. Quite a lot of disposable income is going on these kinds of items - whereas in the past it may have gone on going to the pub, or the higher cost of durable and semi-durable goods (the falling real-terms cost of clothing and electronics has meant more room to spent on the rising cost of lattes, bento boxes, baguettes and burritos).
What could change this? Big falls in real disposable income might get people to shift back to self-prepared foods and drinks. More home-working? (Although that is a 'revolution' which is always just over the horizon). Greater competition for space on the high street from retail or A2 occupiers? (Seems unlikely).
I think it reflects big societal changes. The old centres of social life in the Valleys were the Italian cafes and miners institutes. Both catered to an area and groups influenced by the temperance movement - even if they did drink, it was in sort of moderation. The decline in religion and mining meant the centre of life moved to the pubs and rugby clubs. Now with falls in alcohol consumption, especially among the young, and a rise in disposable income among the elderly, cafes are back again (and pubs suffering).
I think the rise and rise of coffee shops and convenience food outlets (sandwich shops, burrito bars, etc) has gone on further than people would have thought. I remember about 6 years ago analysis of the rise of coffee shops on the high street and comments about how far this could continue... and it has!
In London, at least, it seems that people increasingly purchase food/drinks from such outlets rather than bring in or make food themselves. Quite a lot of disposable income is going on these kinds of items - whereas in the past it may have gone on going to the pub, or the higher cost of durable and semi-durable goods (the falling real-terms cost of clothing and electronics has meant more room to spent on the rising cost of lattes, bento boxes, baguettes and burritos).
What could change this? Big falls in real disposable income might get people to shift back to self-prepared foods and drinks. More home-working? (Although that is a 'revolution' which is always just over the horizon). Greater competition for space on the high street from retail or A2 occupiers? (Seems unlikely).